Stockbrokers suffer from low volume

Filed Under (Market News) by Webmaster on 16-03-2009

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GIVEN the current slump in the global economy, fewer investors are interested in share trading, leading to quiet days on the stock market.

Even though all the domestic brokers today had survived the 1997-1998 financial crisis, the slowdown that brokers are facing now is a lot more severe. This is because operating costs have since escalated while brokerage commission rates have decreased significantly.

For Inter-Pacific Securities, Kuok said, the brokerage had begun cutting costs more than six months ago, but the key to survival was still the volume of transactions on Bursa.

“Turnover on Bursa needs to be double the current levels for brokers to be profitable again.

“Already, the Stock Exchange of Thailand has overtaken Bursa in terms of turnover and the Jakarta Stock Exchange is snapping at our heels despite their market capitalisation being lower than Bursa Malaysia’s. We need new and bold initiatives urgently,” he continued.

The less active market, in turn, has affected the performance of local stockbroking firms.

An industry source expects these challenging times for stockbroking firms to continue for the next two years.

“Some of the brokerages, especially ‘stand-alone’ firms, have had no business at all in the past few months,” he told StarBiz.

(Stand-alone firms refer to independent companies that have not merged with any other stockbroking firms although they can be backed by a banking institution.)

These brokerages are struggling to cope with monthly operating costs such as market data fees and some other charges they have to pay to the stock exchange.

“Stand-alone brokerages are not the only ones under pressure now. The larger broking firms are also facing tough times,” the source said. “Basically, all brokerages in Malaysia are not profitable now. In general, if stockbroking firms are to make profits, the daily trading volumes must be above RM1bil.”

The source said these companies, especially stand-alone firms whose activities are limited, were surviving on their reserve funds now.

“But how long can they endure this? No one can predict when the market will recover,” he lamented.

In the past six months, the value of trades on Bursa Malaysia was below RM1bil. From Feb 10 to March 10, the daily trading volume was between 332 million and 594 million shares.

Inter-Pacific Securities Sdn Bhd executive director Kuok Wee Kiat said: “It is unlikely we would find any broker of any stripe breaking even now when comparing brokerage income with direct operating costs.

“Brokers with deeper pockets and other revenue streams will be able to withstand losses longer.”

The Association of Stockbroking Companies Malaysia (ASCM) chairman Datuk Saiful Bahri Zainuddin said the economy was closely correlated to the performance of the stock market.

“Every stockbroking firm is affected in this market condition, regardless of whether they are bank-backed or their size.

“The stockbroking industry is suffering from low trading volumes. All the brokerages probably have not been making money over the past six months.

“However, bank-backed securities firms are perhaps slightly better off compared with the others,” he said in an interview.

Today, there are not many stand-alone brokerages left in the industry. Among them are SJ Securities, Jupiter Securities, Fa Securities (Terengganu), Inno-Sabah, KAF-Seagroatt & Campbell and BIMB Securities.

Saiful said stockbroking firms basically depended on market volumes. If there is insufficient trading volume in the market, there would be an impact in terms of profitability, market share and operational costs.

“The bigger you are, the more you are going to suffer due to higher overheads,” said Saiful, who is also the head of stockbroking at Affin Investment Bank and a board member of Bursa Malaysia Bhd.

Currently, there are 31 member companies in the stockbroking industry including five foreign brokerages.

Saiful said the trading volume had been very low since the second half of last year. – The Star

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Can Bursa Uptrend Sustain

Filed Under (Market News) by Webmaster on 17-02-2009

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The Star commented that the current Bursa uptrend cannot sustain. It said despite the Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) closing up 1.70% to 909.84 last Friday, a number of analysts do not believe the momentum is sustainable because the worst is not yet over for the economy.

The KLCI closed down 2.65 points to 907.19 yesterday in line with most Asian bourses as investors viewed negatively the lack of a firm response from G7 finance ministers who met in Rome.

The analysts said they believed deteriorating macroeconomic fundamentals at home and abroad would continue to haunt the local equities market while there were also concerns over how the country was going to fund and execute the pump-priming measures that would be announced on March 10 in a mini-budget.

AmResearch Sdn Bhd research head Benny Chew said while the market performance had been “quite robust” in the face of the domestic political turmoil, the macroeconomic fundamentals remained weak.

“We’re also very concerned about the capital raising that is taking place in the market. It raises the question of whether there’s going to be a hollowing-out of the domestic money market,” he told StarBiz.

Chew said the market had priced in the expectations of pump-priming but not its funding and execution. “In light of the very tough funding environment, there’s the question of how the Government is going to fund the spending to boost the economy,” he said.

Jupiter Securities Sdn Bhd research head Pong Teng Siew said there was a need to keep an eye on government expenditure as it would affect its ability to borrow in the long term should Malaysia’s credit rating be affected.

“It will not be to the country’s advantage to spend and then see the cost of borrowing go up because the credit rating has been affected,” he said.

Pong also said external factors still outweighed any domestic economic or political factors in influencing the market besides the perception of foreign funds on the local economy. “In the fourth quarter of 2008, they accounted for over 40% of trade on Bursa Malaysia,” he said.

Meanwhile, HwangDBS Vickers Research Sdn Bhd analyst Goh Yin Foo said in a report that there was a chance for the KLCI to plot a mini upward trend in the short term but, in the absence of a belief that the worst was over for the economy, “any market recovery should be viewed as a relief rally.”

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Bursa KLCI Below 803 Points!

Filed Under (Bursa Alert!) by Webmaster on 28-10-2008

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Bursa open today (28 October 2008) after it was closed on Monday for Deepavali Holiday in Malaysia. ProTradeShares was informed that the KLCI goes down hill immediately after the market open.

The Malaysian market could be doing a catch “down” with other regional and world market which closed lower on Monday. It was 802.28 points at 9.50am.

I managed to get a screen shot of the KLCI when it was at 805 points.

KLCI at 805

KLCI at 805

The top ten stocks loser were:

NESTLE = RM26.00 (down 2.00)
DIGI = RM20.40 (down 1.80)
BAT = RM40.75 (down 1.25)
UTDPLT = RM7.95 (down 1.10)
PPB = RM6.90 (down 0.75)
COMMERZ = RM5.75 (down 0.65)
PBBANK = RM7.90 (down 0.65)
LPI = RM8.05 (down 0.65)
HLIND = RM2.98 (down 0.62)

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